Thursday, November 18, 2010

Moles After Severe Sunburn

Peak Oil behind us

now it seems official - the International Energy Agency (IEA) has itself added that the promotion can remain stable for more than a few years before they slip off for good. Comment from Craig Morris

few years ago, Peak Oil was an issue for skeptics and outsiders. Although a few prominent insiders have rung alarm bells with (eg Matthew Simmons, see Peak oil: rising prices, declining production), alleged BP, IEA, and other industrial organizations are well-behaved and calm, the peak'm probably in a few decades. For example, the IEA said in 2009 that peak oil would be reached earlier 2020th

proposed on Tuesday in the IEA World Energy Outlook 2010, however, unexpectedly of a new tone. Now speaks the organization not only openly of Peak Oil (the IEA took the concept so far reluctant to mouth), but provides the same with a graphic that has it all.

You can see clearly that the delivery volume fell slightly, economists would probably point to the decline in consumption during the economic crisis. The graph shows, however, something disturbing: the promotion will no longer appear slightly above the level of 2003-2007, but soon fall even steep. Only when "undeveloped fields are already taking a job right now, we can roughly hold today, slightly depressed levels stable - until only about 2015. Then need to be added "not yet found boxes. Otherwise We have about a generation later, perhaps only half of current production.

For the Energy Watch Group in Berlin, which also warns for years before Peak Oil, will be apparent clear recommendations from the IEA study: "Even a full supply of renewable energy is possible within a few decades, and cheaper than the other consumption petroleum, natural gas, coal and uranium. "

They are right - however, some proponents of renewable energy sources to lean far out of the window when they (as the EEC) indicate that renewables could replace oil. It is true that all produce renewable electricity, not liquid Fuel, except for the biomass, and it is doubtful that as much biofuel can be produced sustainably, as we now consume petroleum. The nuclear power is therefore no substitute dar. There was simply no substitute for oil as fuel.

This means that we will soon have to make do with less oil, but that is yes - better insulated buildings, passive heating, pellet stoves, etc., and finally to the emergency electric heaters. Heat is not the problem. But the electric mobility will be different than our current cars that have virtually unlimited range and can be filled up within minutes. A trip from Berlin to the Atlantic coast at Bordeaux with a tent and family in the combination is becoming increasingly difficult.

is even more difficult navigation. And almost impossible for air travel. There are no alternatives to liquid fossil fuel in sight. You should therefore be prepared for rapidly rising oil prices in your lifetime.

Source: Craig Morris
2010
Petite Planet 2010
http://www.sonnenseite.com/

Friday, November 12, 2010

Denise Milani Niple Shown

International Energy Agency warning of the Energy Watch Group

  • highlight "Peak Oil" of conventional oil production in 2006
  • IEA assumptions about the future total funding unrealistic
  • ensures faster development of renewable supply cheaper
Three years ago, had the Energy Watch Group (EWG), the peak of conventional oil worldwide promotion to the year 2006 dated. The International Energy Agency (IEA) agrees with this statement in their presented today in Berlin, "World Energy Outlook 2010" the first time explicitly states that the conventional oil output will never reach again the level of 2006. In the International Energy Agency have come together 28 OECD countries in order to represent the interests of the largest government "western" energy consuming countries.

Scientists have described the Energy Watch Group in 2007 in a comprehensive study, why is "half after reaching this point, head to the annual production of conventional oil within twenty years to 2030 with high probability". Even in recent years the IEA revised its forecasts of global oil production each year downward
and approaches to the analysis of the Energy Watch Group.

In contrast to the Energy Watch Group outlined the IEA, however, still far too optimistic expectations in the expansion of production from conventional and unconventional oil resources: "Leaders of the IEA regularly declare that, several , new "Saudi Arabia opened up 'would have to own to keep the current oil output. This would also be a prerequisite for the current scenario. These oil fields exist not. It can only encourage oil, which you can find, "said Thomas Seltzer, Project Manager of the Energy Watch Group.

meets Moreover, the IEA still unrealistic assumptions about the potential production from so-called "unconventional" oil sources: natural gas liquids and tar sands - two substitutes for conventional crude oil that is promoted very expensive and damaging to the environment (tar sands) or less in many Scale are available. "With the known oil production on land and at sea, their development is not at all comparable," restricts Seltzer. Nevertheless, the IEA still suggests that oil supplies could be further increased according to need. The

is unfounded optimism in oil an equally unfounded pessimism about the development of renewable energies. Thus, as outlined by the IEA expansion rates are below the current growth rate of renewables. Seltzer: "We strongly recommend the governments to accelerate the development of renewable energies ambitious, for the foreseeable shortages and price jumps in fossil energy to . Meet A faster expansion of renewable energy is more cost effective than a slower expansion. Even a full supply of renewable energy is possible within a few decades, and cheaper than the more consumption of oil, natural gas, coal and uranium "


source. http://www.energywatchgroup.org/ Mitteilungen.26.0.html