- highlight "Peak Oil" of conventional oil production in 2006
- IEA assumptions about the future total funding unrealistic
- ensures faster development of renewable supply cheaper
Scientists have described the Energy Watch Group in 2007 in a comprehensive study, why is "half after reaching this point, head to the annual production of conventional oil within twenty years to 2030 with high probability". Even in recent years the IEA revised its forecasts of global oil production each year downward
and approaches to the analysis of the Energy Watch Group.
In contrast to the Energy Watch Group outlined the IEA, however, still far too optimistic expectations in the expansion of production from conventional and unconventional oil resources: "Leaders of the IEA regularly declare that, several , new "Saudi Arabia opened up 'would have to own to keep the current oil output. This would also be a prerequisite for the current scenario. These oil fields exist not. It can only encourage oil, which you can find, "said Thomas Seltzer, Project Manager of the Energy Watch Group.
meets Moreover, the IEA still unrealistic assumptions about the potential production from so-called "unconventional" oil sources: natural gas liquids and tar sands - two substitutes for conventional crude oil that is promoted very expensive and damaging to the environment (tar sands) or less in many Scale are available. "With the known oil production on land and at sea, their development is not at all comparable," restricts Seltzer. Nevertheless, the IEA still suggests that oil supplies could be further increased according to need. The
is unfounded optimism in oil an equally unfounded pessimism about the development of renewable energies. Thus, as outlined by the IEA expansion rates are below the current growth rate of renewables. Seltzer: "We strongly recommend the governments to accelerate the development of renewable energies ambitious, for the foreseeable shortages and price jumps in fossil energy to . Meet A faster expansion of renewable energy is more cost effective than a slower expansion. Even a full supply of renewable energy is possible within a few decades, and cheaper than the more consumption of oil, natural gas, coal and uranium "
source. http://www.energywatchgroup.org/ Mitteilungen.26.0.html
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